Wednesday, July 15, 2009

Why Obamacare is in more trouble than he thinks

With overwhelming majorities in both houses of Congress, it would appear that Obamacare should be on a fast track to destroying our health care system. But it's not; in fact, it may go down the humiliating road of Hillarycare (yay!). And why is this a possibility? Mostly because there's a mid-term election in 2010 and a lot of folks who vote for this will find themselves firmly placed in the "toast" category. Here's a few reasons why:

  • It's already unpopular. Rasmussen Reports, which is about as accurate and comprehensive a pollster as there is, has said for more than a week that a majority of Americans oppose Obamacare (House Version) by 49 pecent to 46 percent margin. A Zogby poll today already puts a majority, not a plurality, of Americans, against it. And this is before the real details of the 1,018-page plan get out.
  • It costs too much for too little. The Democrats are claiming that their plan will cost somewhere around $600 million (in new taxes) and 97 percent of the American people will be covered. Yeah, right. The Congressional Budget Office, in its preliminary analysis of the plan, said it'll cost more than $1 trillion and still leave 17 million people without coverage. So, in essence, Obamacare (House Version) costs about $66,000 a person for some etherial version of health care that doesn't even cover everyone. It's crap.
  • It relies on new taxes, wishful thinking and unrealistic expectations. This $600 million (or so) in new taxes are supposed to come from "the rich"--in other words, individuals making $300,000 or more or couples making $350,000 or more. Now, think about this: $300,000 sounds like a lot of money, but what if you live in a place like New York, Washington or L.A.? Suddenly, it ain't so much. With the additional taxation and state taxes, the tax burden for the "rich" is now over 50 percent, which is not a good thing for the economy. In fact, that will be the highest tax level since Jimmy Carter (who Obama is acting a lot alike). Another problem: enough of "the rich" will find charities or other tax shelters that will reduce their tax burden, leaving the coffers short. So, then what? On to taxing the middle class! That may (almost certainly) happen anyway, because the government is expecting to get a lot of money back from Medicare and Medicaid to defray costs. Considering they're already pretty much bankrupt, odds of that happening are painfully slim.
  • Americans like options. Don't buy into this "public option" crap. The intention of Obamacare is to make the "public option" the only option. The idea of competition still resonates with the majority of Americans. They also tend to believe that it'll provide better, cheaper products. Losing control of their options is unappealing.
  • Obama has presented this thing horribly. Obamacare is socialism, plain and simple, and Obama has not done a very good job of hiding that. The comparisons to the heathcare system are terrifying: government hacks deciding whether or not you get arthitis medication or whether or not you even get life-saving care. If you're over 65, say, you're toast. You're out of the way. To paraphrase Obama's own words, it's probably just easier and better (read: cheaper) to just give you medicine to lessen the pain than do more tests that may discover a cure. To quote Michael Barone, "Hip replacement at 60? Hey, that's expensive, and you're too old." Chilling.
The left has deluded themselves into thinking that government controlled health care couldn't be any worse than what we've got. Let me tell you: yes, it can. Operating from past experience working in the federal government, I can attest to the truth that there is no drive, no motivation among the employees. They cash their checks and, for the most, part, don't give a damn about the people they're supposed to be helping. In addition, you're adding layers of bureaucracy and paperwork to an already convoluted system. It's a recipie for disaster.

I present a challenge to Democrats (especially Blue Dog Democrats): go ahead. Vote for Obamacare. See what happens to you next year. The economy's already a mess, and your beloved leadership is is demanding more in taxes. This plan will require a lot more than your leadership is saying, increasing our debt burden even further. And, to boot, the end product is going to seriously suck.

Obama thinks he's got all the answers, that Obamacare will pass and it will be wonderful. He's wrong. Passage will be a disaster to the health care industry and the economy as a whole. Voting for it, or even considering it, will be a disaster for many Democrats. Ask Bill Clinton about it, and what happened in 1994. And end result like that will end Obamacare and his socialistic agenda, because the Republicans will be in charge.

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